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Iraq’s Macroeconomic Context
Iraq was hit in 2014 by a dual crisis – the Islamic State and Significantly Lower Oil prices
With 95% of revenues coming from oil sales, Iraq had a significant budgetary Deficit as it took time to adjust expenditures down
Initially investments both in the oil sector and the non-oil sector were reduced significantly
This caused arrears to IOC’s as well as to government contractors generally
In late 2015, Iraq engaged with the International Monetary Fund with a Staff Monitoring Program, and was followed in 2016 with a Standby Arrangement (SBA)
The principal goals of the SBA were:
- Getting rid of arrears (payments to all IOC’s are now current and payments to other contractors have been rescheduled)
- A strong fiscal consolidation program, in which expenditures were curtailed and non-oil revenues increased (leading to a reduction in deficits as part of the GDP as well as a reduction in the non-oil primary balance deficit)
iii. Establishing a sustainable debt program
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