Iraqi Economists Network

Iraqi Economists Network

شبكة الاقتصاديين العراقيين

The Iraqi National Economy

The Risks of Transitioning to AI-Powered Digital ‎Administration: Iraq Between Aspiration and Reality.

Iraqi Economists Network

Dr. Saad Mohsen Naji:*

In the midst of an intense global race toward digitization, AI-driven digital ‎administration has become a defining feature of institutional transformation. ‎While such technologies promise unprecedented levels of efficiency, accuracy, and ‎speed, they also carry inherent risks and challenges. If not managed wisely, these ‎risks can undermine the sustainability of economic organizations, particularly in ‎developing economies such as Iraq and several Arab countries.‎

A critical review of e-government initiatives across the region reveals that their ‎shortcomings often stem not from financial constraints, but from the failure to ‎establish well-structured teams proficient in the latest technologies and capable of ‎managing them effectively. This underscores the centrality of human capital and ‎the need for continuous education. Technology, no matter how advanced, remains ‎ineffective without qualified human resources to harness its potential.‎

Digital transformation, when pursued through abrupt leaps rather than gradual ‎integration, tends to disrupt traditional organizational structures. Field studies ‎show that downsizing skilled personnel without offering reskilling opportunities ‎creates dangerous execution gaps. A striking example is the collapse of Borders ‎Books, which failed to adapt to digital publishing and exited the market in 2011. ‎More recently, the streaming platform Quibi invested nearly $1.8 billion into short-‎form video content without adequately addressing user behavior, leading to its ‎shutdown just six months after launch in December 2020. These cases highlight the ‎non-negotiable need to align digital solutions with market behavior and user ‎expectations.‎

The integration of artificial intelligence also reveals a significant digital skills gap ‎among public sector employees. The World Bank recommends a phased approach ‎to digital transformation that incorporates sustainable reskilling of staff to ensure ‎long-term success. Moreover, the lack of interoperability between legacy systems ‎and new digital platforms leads to disjointed user experiences and market losses—‎as seen in the case of Sears, the retail giant whose failure to integrate physical ‎stores with its digital platform led to its closure in 2018. The company’s downfall ‎was rooted in a disconnect between corporate culture and the digital capabilities of ‎its workforce.‎

Economically, digital platforms exert downward pressure on prices due to their ‎inherent transparency. Without delivering clear added value, institutions risk ‎losing their competitive edge rapidly. Additionally, building secure and highly ‎available digital infrastructure is a costly endeavor—especially in countries lacking ‎robust technological ecosystems.‎

Cybersecurity threats are becoming more acute in tandem with the expansion of ‎digital operations. Security reports from 2024 highlight a sharp increase in ‎cyberattacks targeting government systems in countries where digitization has ‎outpaced cybersecurity investments. The primary vulnerability, according to these ‎reports, lies in the imbalance between spending on user interfaces or cloud ‎infrastructure and underinvestment in cybersecurity.‎

Digital inclusion remains a fundamental challenge. Digital services often benefit ‎urban populations and younger generations, while the elderly and rural ‎communities are left behind—widening the digital and social divide. Harvard ‎Business Review stresses that institutional resistance to change—whether from ‎employees fearing job loss or from senior leaders who fail to genuinely embrace ‎transformation—is a key driver behind the failure of digital initiatives.‎

In conclusion, AI-powered digital administration offers a powerful lever for ‎enhancing performance and transparency in Iraq and across developing economies. ‎However, it is not a silver bullet. Success requires a balanced approach that ‎harmonizes technology with human capability, and ambition with realism. This ‎involves adopting an integrated strategy based on sustained investment in human ‎capital, the endorsement of transformative leadership, the implementation of ‎secure and equitable digital governance, and the pursuit of inclusive digitization ‎that reaches all segments of society.‎

Through this holistic framework, developing countries can reap the benefits of ‎digital transformation while avoiding its pitfalls.‎

* Dr. Saad Mohsen Naji, Expert in Digital Economy, Vice President and Secretary General, ‎Iraqi Business Council in Jordan

Comment here

%d bloggers like this: