Abstract In 1979 Iraq was a net creditor to the world, due to its large oil reserves and lack of external debt. Fifteen years later, its government debt-to-GDP was over 1,000%. At the time of the U.S. invasion in 2003, Iraq was saddled with around $130 billion in external debt that needed to be restructured. How does a country incur so much debt, so fast, and how does it ge
Read MoreThe Iraq Economic Monitor provides an update on key economic developments and policies over the previous six months and presents findings from recent World Bank work on Iraq, placing them in a longer-term and global context and assessing the implications of these developments and other changes in policy regarding the outlook for Iraq. Its coverage ranges from the macro-economy
Read MoreFixing the country’s chronic political dysfunction can only begin with new elections. After the third try in less than six months, Iraq’s parliament has finally approved a new prime minister: Mustafa Al-Kadhimi, the former intelligence chief. He deserves our commiserations for being burdened with the Middle East’s most impossible task. Since Kadhimi has no chance of succe
Read MoreAs Iraq inches toward the formation of a new government, the risks are stacking up for OPEC’s second-biggest crude producer. Beyond the country’s long-standing sectarian tensions, frayed relations with the Kurdish north, a bloated public wage bill and endemic corruption, new Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kadhimi now has to grapple with a collapse in oil revenue and the fallout f
Read More(1) The link below is for World Bank’s World Commodity Market Outlook April 2020. It was released on May 1. https://www.worldbank.org/en/research/commodity-markets (2) Its sections on energy, and oil in particular, including Box 1, pp 24-30, are very much worth reading. (3) It expects a price for oil (average of Brent, Dubai, and WTI) of $35/B for 2020 to rise to $42/B
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